[128], Silver also appeared on The Colbert Report (October 7, 2008 and November 5, 2012),[129] The Daily Show (October 17, 2012 and November 7, 2012),[130] and Real Time with Bill Maher (October 26, 2012). Jonathan D. Salant and Laura Curtis, "Nate Silver-led Statistics Men Crush Pundits in Election". ELEANOR SMEAL: You know, theyd all eat together, and then the men would go into the library or some other part of the house to talk about the real things of society. For both the suffragists and the anti-suffragists, it's the last stand. Rafael De La Uz ELAINE WEISS: Even though Prohibition is already in effect, they open what they call the Jack Daniels suite on the eighth floor, a 24/7 speakeasy where liquor is dispensed morning, noon, and night to any legislator who will come up and listen to the arguments why they should vote against suffrage. Edison's new entry sought to turn the popular stereotype on its head. It's a big deal in the house. NARRATOR: The Declaration of Sentiments adopted by the convention had been modeled on the Declaration of Independence, and included a list of resolutions outlining the rights to which women, as citizens, should be entitled. SUSAN WARE: What was so unusual about the suffrage lobbyists is that that was not the way they operated. The Tigers became his team and baseball his sport. MARCIA CHATELAIN: These are sisters who are divided because of racism and because of white supremacy, and theyre asking each other to concede on the issue of rights and it will impact every single attempt to bring women broadly together in action for a better society. They united to abolish slavery and advance the rights of women in the 19th Century. Woodruff, 75, is leaving the daily anchor job that she's been doing since 2013 and embarking on a two-year reporting project on the nation's divisions. NARRATOR: So desperate was Paul for fresh recruits that she even issued invitations to local African-American activistssetting aside her deep conviction that their presence risked turning a woman's protest into a racial one. By then, Pennsylvania Avenue was jammed with spectators. Like her fellow suffragettesand as per the Pankhurst's evolving strategyshe'd broken every pane of glass in her cell and declared herself a political prisoner. It took the suffragists a full year, but as of mid-June 1920, thirty-five states had ratified the amendment. When at last the clerk announced the final vote274 in favor, 136 opposeda mad cheer went up from the galleries. [4] In the 2012 United States presidential election, the forecasting system correctly predicted the winner of all 50 states and the District of Columbia. Also author of preface to William Carlos Williams's Collected Poems, 1921-1931, Objectivist Press, 1934. [9]:49 Flandrau and his companies were relieved on October 5, 1862, by the 25th Wisconsin Infantry Regiment. [38] Although there were repeated threats against the lives of mixed-blood settlers,[12]:142 even the most violent warriors exercised restraint when reminded that by killing mixed-blood Dakota, they would risk retribution from their victims' "full-blood" kinsmen. ELLEN DUBOIS: The assumption was that it wasnt going to be necessary in the United States. "Immediately plead ignorance of the law and pay whatever fine there is upon it," she instructed. By the fourth day, everyone involved had come to regard the demonstration as a trial to be endured. "Eleven [votes] to win before we can pass the Senate," was all she said. Kelly McBride, "What Nate Silver's success says about the 4th and 5th estates". [95] The only exception to this legislation applied to 208 Mdewakanton, who had remained neutral or assisted white settlers in the conflict. And she began to realize that there was a whole other world out there where women were not necessarily treated equally. 'We write our [Baseball Prospectus 2009] book from now through the first of the year,' [Silver] said. Nate Silver, "For Griffey, the Roads Not Taken". "[T]he same arguments used to prove that the ballot be withheld from women," she pointed out, "are advanced to prove that colored men should not be allowed to vote.". You can cancel at any time. President Wilson received the envoys graciously. NARRATOR: Most promising to Catt was the continued return on her investment with President Wilson, who publicly expressed his hope "that the people of New York will realize the great occasion that faces them on Election Day and respond to it in a noble fashion." [6] However, the 28% chance of victory they gave Trump going into election day was significantly higher than that of most other analysts, and FiveThirtyEight discussed a Trump win as a distinct possibility, while most media treated it as a remote, if not near-impossible, outcome. The rest were sent to Occoquan, with sentences of varying lengths. Kate Billingsley They threw lighted cigarettes at them. [3] In April 2009, he appeared as an analyst on ESPN's Baseball Tonight. It will merely be a delightful rest. when asked weeks before if he was willing to extend credit to the Dakota when the government annuity payments had not arrived. was followed by yet more pickets, more arrests, more suffragists standing trial. Brooke Levine For a few years in the 1930s, Ronald Lane Latimer struck gold as an editor, publishing Stevens, Williams, and more. All of a sudden it begins to seem possible. Acting Executive Producer In this poem, a beautiful womans humiliating encounter with lustful elders becomes a meditation on the nature of beauty (and the beauty of nature). This is mapping, right, political culture for the nationfor women, but for the nation. NARRATOR: Outside the statehouse, Harry Burn paused to exchange congratulations with Banks Turner and the suffragists, but only brieflyhaving fled the torrent of insults in the House chamber through a window in the clerk's room. Georgia Archives, Vanishing Georgia Collection NARRATOR: Votes for women, as everyone who'd agitated for them well knew, had merely forced open a door. And the image of women wasting away for want of a basic right was something the Pankhursts realized was a good idea. [24] On December 26, 2019, Minnesota Governor Tim Walz issued an apology for the 1862 Mankato hangings and other acts against the Dakota people while participating in the annual Dakota 38+2 Memorial Ride and Run which was held at the site of the hangings. The Montauk Club [23], In 2000, Silver graduated with Honors with a Bachelor of Arts degree in economics from the University of Chicago. In 2010, the FiveThirtyEight blog was licensed for publication by The New York Times. Knox County Public Library [109] Sales increased after the election on November 6, jumping 800% and becoming the second best seller on Amazon.com. Nate Silver, "FiveThirtyEight to Partner with New York Times". There are 179 separate licenses for PBS outlets. With just three months until the election, they feverishly plastered posters in shop windows and on billboards, peddled suffrage buttons and suffrage tea, and distributed more than three million pieces of literature. [19], At first, they were settled in an open camp below Fort Snelling, but were soon relocated to a fenced stockade to protect them from further attacks. Now, he announced he wished to be recorded as having voted "aye." So instead of being intimidated by the attack, she used it as an argument to geteffectively, to get the Congress to begin to move on the federal amendment. The trials themselves were deficient in many ways, even by military standards; and the officers who oversaw them did not conduct them according to military law. 'I have a week to relax and then it gets just as busy again. It wasn't until September that the bill finally came to the floor for debate; and by then, no one was more anxious for it to pass than the president. Then, one day on campus, she'd spotted a notice about an upcoming lecture. Rafael De La Uz If men had been demanding the vote and ignored by the government for decades, Malone told the president, "their inevitable impatience and righteous indignation [would be understood]." The 400-odd of trials commenced on 28 September 1862 and were completed on 3 November; some lasted less than 5 minutes. ARCHIVAL: Free our sisters, free ourselves! ELEANOR SMEAL: Reformers, people who fight for change, are always asked to be perfect. But throughout his first hundred days as presidentand for months beyondhe'd managed to avoid taking any public position on the question of votes for women. Less profound, perhaps, but no less impressive areHarmoniums comedic highlights, Le Monocle de Mon Oncle and The Comedian as the Letter C. In Le Monocle de Mon Oncle the narrator, a middle-aged poet, delivers an extended, rather flamboyantly embellished, monologue to love in all its embodiments and evocations. It drives me crazy. [18] The captives included 162 "mixed-bloods" (mixed-race) and 107 whites, mostly women and children, who had been held hostage by the "hostile" Dakota camp, which broke up as Little Crow and some of his followers fled to the northern plains. Studiopolis State politicians and the local press generally agreed the suffrage measure, Amendment 23, was likely to carryperhaps by as many as 40,000 votes. Theyre not very smart. And, so, by their count they have the votes. Wells took advantage of the chaosboldly stepping in with the Illinois delegation midway through the route. So if Im an astute student of politics in the South, I understand what black women will do if given the opening and the possibility of coming to the polls; that they will work to really upend a political order that is bound by white supremacy. En espaol | When planning for your future medical care, prepare your advance directives to be sure your loved ones make health choices according to your wishes. But on the suffrage amendment, the Senate refused to budge. [38], On August 18, 1862, Little Crow led a group in a surprise attack on the Lower Sioux (or Redwood) Agency. SUSAN WARE: Think about what it would be like to march in your first suffrage parade. The Barbara Lee Family Foundation Fund Ida B. Consistent in the volume is Stevenss willingness to render his ideas in a precise, accessible manner. Nate Silver, "The Fundamentals Now Favor Obama". He also went to Washington, D.C. in the fall of 1862 to urge Lincoln to proceed with leniency. FiveThirtyEight argued it projected a much higher chance (29%) of Donald Trump winning the presidency than other modelers,[95] a projection which was criticized days before the election by Ryan Grim of The Huffington Post as "unskewing" too much in favor of Trump.[97]. [9]:64 On his orders, Sibley's men recovered and buried 14 fallen Dakota. The New York Times public editor Margaret Sullivan wrote upon Silver's decision to leave for ESPN: I don't think Nate Silver ever really fit into the Times culture and I think he was aware of that. [24], After college graduation in 2000, Silver worked for three and a half years as a transfer pricing consultant with KPMG in Chicago. Without access to the polls, its difficult to imagine how black Americans are going to turn whats happening in another direction. NARRATOR: The joint session of Congress that President Wilson called in April 1917 was historicnot simply for the declaration of war it was asked to consider, but because for the first time, a woman participated in the deliberations: 34-year-old Jeannette Rankin, a longtime suffragist, now the newly-elected Republican representative from the free state of Montana. Subsequent editions would track its progress through the statehouses of America. By the time New Ulm was attacked, residents had organized defenses in the town center and were able to keep the Dakota at bay during the brief siege. The 1915 campaign was well-run, well-funded, but it could not break through. Another play,Carlos among the Candles,followed in 1917, and the comic poem Le Monocle de Mon Oncle appeared in 1918. Then he disappeared. Daily U.S. military news updates including military gear and equipment, breaking news, international news and more. But after that [Silver's and the website's popularity] started to really take off. Hotly debated in town halls, on street corners, and around dinner tables the country over, woman suffrage had divided husbands and wives, siblings, women one from anotherand had aroused vociferous opposition from every quarter of American society: industrial interests, politicians, and not least, the states of the former Confederacy, where the franchise was a jealously-guarded instrument of white supremacy. By way of explanation, Paul offered an analogy: "If a creditor stands before a man's house all day long demanding payment of his bill, the man must either remove the creditor or pay the bill.". "[51][9]:31 On August 27, a vanguard of mounted men under Colonel Samuel McPhail arrived at Fort Ridgely and lifted the siege; the rest of Sibley's force arrived the next day and established a camp outside the fort. It's as if she's leading a military organization, an army of women. Nobody really cares about this. [75] Not surprisingly, given the socially explosive conditions under which the trials took place, by 7 November the verdicts were in. ARCHIVAL [Cronkite]: Fifty years ago today, the Nineteenth Amendment to the U.S. Constitution gave women the right to vote. Although she linked to her "Nate Silver Went Against the Grain" article, Sullivan did not specify in what ways she had been off-base. NARRATOR: When the legislation had been first introduced in the Senate, in 1878, it was meant to be the 16th Amendment to the U.S. Constitution. "If you will not give the whole loaf of justice to the entire people," Susan B. Anthony told Douglass, it should be given to "the most intelligent and capable portion ofwomen" first. "Reliable reports," the Fort Wayne News remarked, "are to the effect that she will have to suspend her Christmas stocking from a steel slat in a six by four cell." Chicago had a train, including Ida B. NARRATOR: Opposed by Stanton's husbandand by her father, who threatened to disown herwoman suffrage found its first male champion in Frederick Douglass, who had escaped enslavement to become a leader of the abolitionist movement. And the men began jeering and spitting. History Origins. COL. BETH BEHN: For women to stand at the gates of the White House and demand attention from the President, to demand rights, is stepping far outside of social norms for that time. [64], Meanwhile, Dakota runners were reporting Sibley's movements every few hours. But it makes the mainstream seem much more acceptable. [citation needed], On August 19, 1862, Minnesota Governor Alexander Ramsey asked his long-time friend and political rival, former Governor Henry Hastings Sibley, to lead an expedition up the Minnesota River for the relief of Fort Ridgely, and gave him an officer's commission as Colonel of Volunteers. MARTHA JONES: If youre a black woman, white womens racism is not news. But the goal is the federal amendment. Blatch sees this organization as a way to seize control of the New York movement, which had become quite paralyzed, and to move it forward. Margaret Johnston Then he offered to represent the pickets in court. National Archives and Records Administration Ariel Martian ELLEN DUBOIS: Blatch said one of the dirty secrets of war is that its good for women. The poems in this volume show Stevens further refining and ordering his ideas about the imagination and poetry. [16] A council was called, and Little Crow proposed attacking and capturing the camp that night. In the nights that followed, a growing number of Mdewakanton warriors who had participated in battles quietly joined the "friendly" Dakota at Camp Release; many did not want to spend winter on the plains and were persuaded by Sibley's earlier promise to punish only those who had killed settlers. I'm about to get some information and I'm about to get it in a way that I'm ready to receive it,'" Nawaz said. The first main section, entitled It Must Be Abstract, recallsHarmoniums themes by hailing art as the new deity in a theologically deficient age. I think that's important. TINA CASSIDY: There were lots of male students from the University of Birmingham there, and they were hooting and hollering and singing songs and throwing things. [57] From that date the blog focused almost exclusively on forecasting the outcomes of the 2010 U.S. Senate and U.S. House of Representatives elections as well as state gubernatorial contests. Two years later Stevenss father died, and in 1912 his mother also died. And she's kicked out of the Women's Peace Party. Tennessee's governor, Albert Roberts, at first refused to call a special session. Half the country winning the right to vote is a tremendous step towards this young country, America, finally achieving the equality that Thomas Jefferson wrote about in the Declaration of Independence, a huge step towards America achieving its potential. Browse our listings to find jobs in Germany for expats, including jobs for English speakers or those in your native language. They might be able to get it. NARRATOR: By the time Paul's ship docked in Philadelphia, her notoriety was such that a swarm of reporters showed up to greet her. DENVER Authorities said the person who would later kill five at a Colorado gay nightclub was on the FBI's radar a day before being arrested for threatening to kill family members, but agents closed out the case just weeks later. It had garnered a great deal of support. SUSAN WARE: And once that decision was made, nothing would stop them. F.I.L.M. What no one anticipated in 1915 was the lengths to which they would actually have to go. Alabama Department of Archives and History Then, in late June, came a wire from President Wilson, who pressed the governor to deliver the final state, so that the Democrats could take credit for it. NARRATOR: Paul had been raising hackles at the National Association for months now, ever since the parade. Martina Maio, Assistant Camera Meanwhile, suffragists from all over the country were likewise headed for Washington. She sees possibilities for herself that her mother never had. ELAINE WEISS: Women were considered too emotional, not intelligent enough. NARRATOR: Echoing a widely-held view, one columnist pronounced the It really was about womens roles in society. [20][21]:83 In less than six weeks, a military commission, composed of officers from the Minnesota volunteer Infantry, sentenced 303 Dakota men to death. Request a transcript here. Brown Brothers Such poems as Prelude to Objects, Add This to Rhetoric, and Of Modern Poetry all address, to some extent, the self-referential nature of poetry. [42], Shortly after the November 4 election, ESPN writer Jim Caple observed, "Forget Cole Hamels and the Phillies. COL. BETH BEHN: And so he asks whats going on, and somebody tells him most of the people are out watching the suffrage parade. War compels women to work. National Center for Civil and Human Rights [51][52], Militia units under Sibley's command to Fort Ridgely:[53]:772,781,783,784,785,790, On August 28, Governor Ramsey sent Judge Charles Eugene Flandrau to the Blue Earth country to secure the state's southern and southwestern "frontier," extending from New Ulm to the northern border of Iowa. Toledo Lucas County Public Library ELLEN DUBOIS: The fact that women lacked the right to vote in the 20th century was a totally antiquated phenomenon. Theyit just would have been incomprehensible. They would raise the children. It was close to midnight when they set out. government. Brooklyn Society for Ethical Culture But they are also using those ideas to transform and control their institutionsin churches, in fraternal orders, in benevolent societies. They find that in a number of states where women have the vote, theyre just not all that interested in this federal amendment and this cause of Eastern women. Chris Perepezco Just days later, an embattled Anna Howard Shaw announced she would not be a candidate for re-election to the National Association's presidency, and the country's preeminent woman suffrage organization began the search for a new leader and yet another new path forward. And if you are someone who really goes all in, it basically becomes a job. Silver recalls the scenario: "I know the polls show it's really tight in NC, but we think Obama is going to win by thirteen, fourteen points, and he did. Jad Adams And they were followed every step of the way by reporters. We were only supposed to know what was in the home. The National Archives (UK) In the early morning hours of September 2, 1862, a group of 200 Dakota warriors surrounded and ambushed their campsite, kicking off a 31-hour siege known as the Battle of Birch Coulee, which continued until Colonel Henry Hastings Sibley finally arrived with more troops and artillery on September 3. Because of the extreme technical and thematic complexity of his work, Stevens was sometimes considered a difficult poet. By early 1919, after more than a year of inaction, suffrage leaders were prepared to compromise. Bobby Johnson Visit the U.S. Department of State Archive Websites page. ", "Radnor Earle Monument, photo by Curt Dahlin", "Monuments Depicting Victims of the Dakota Uprising", "The Problem of Historic Markers and Monuments in Minnesota", "Mankato's Hanging Monument Excluded Indigenous Perspectives when it was Erected and when it was Removed", "The U.S. Dakota War in Public Memory and Public Space: Mankato's Journey Toward Reconciliation", "Memorial to 38 hanged Dakota warriors unveiled in Mankato", "Reconciliation Healing and Remembering". Tennessee is a border state. The Dakota raided farms and small settlements throughout south central Minnesota and what was then eastern Dakota Territory. And if the record does not indicate the more guilty and influential, of the culprits, please have a careful statement made on these points and forwarded to me. NARRATOR: They began to converge on Nashville during the first, abysmally hot week in August 1920: suffragists and anti-suffragists, legislators, lobbyists, reportersall of them primed for the final showdown. As a reviewer in The New York Times notes: "It's largely about evaluating predictions in a variety of fields, from finance to weather to epidemiology. That is, one in five visitors to the sixth-most-trafficked U.S. news site took a look at Silver's blog. And, so, each state to add to that was a real battle. See Margaret Sullivan, "A Year in the Life of a Watchdog". At the time, standing on a soapbox on a street corner was something that only men did. There are new tactics and there are new strategies and there are new recruits, and things really just begin to pop. [9]:87 Finally, Secretary of War Edwin Stanton formed the Department of the Northwest on September 6, 1862 and appointed General John Pope, who had been defeated in the Second Battle of Bull Run, to command it, with orders to quell the violence "using whatever force may be necessary. Vote against Wilson and the Democratic candidates for Congress. Just two years earlier, she'd helped to found the Women's Peace Party, and had been advocating ever since for disarmament and mediation in Europe. 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